New paper finds transient climate sensitivity to doubling of CO2 is about 1°C

New paper finds transient climate sensitivity to doubling of CO2 is about 1°C

Watts Up With That?

A new paper published in Ecological Modelling finds climate sensitivity to doubled CO2 concentrations is significantly lower than estimates from the IPCC and climate models which “utilize uncertain historical data and make various assumptions about forcings.” The author instead uses a ‘minimal model’ with the fewest possible assumptions and least data uncertainty to derive a transient climate sensitivity of only 1.093C:

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