Long Term Predictions of Economic Crisis in Indonesia Using System Dynamic Model Optimized By Adaptive Genetic Algorithm

How to handle economic crisis in Indonesia.

sainsfilteknologi

Long Term Predictions of Economic Crisis in Indonesia Using System Dynamic Model Optimized By Adaptive Genetic Algorithm

Fajri R Umbara
Telkom University
Bandung, Indonesia
fajri.umbara@gmail.com
The Houw Liong
Telkom University
Bandung, Indonesia
thehl007@gmail.com
Deni Saepudin
Telkom University
Bandung, Indonesia
Denis7579@gmail.com

Abstract — Indonesia experienced economic crisis in 1998 and
caused by various reasons. One of the reasons was the weakened
value of rupiahs to US dollars. Because of this, investors did not
believe rupiahs anymore. This condition also made many private
companies in our country collapse caused by highest value of
external debt. The fact; however, Indonesia was survived from
this crisis.
This study attempted to predict in order to avoid economic crisis
in Indonesia using monetary crisis and energy crisis prediction as
earlier warning for economic crisis. This studied applied a model
called System Dynamic Model to develop a model of Indonesian
Economic conditions. The data were taken from worldbank…

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